Student Debt Pushes More Homes Out of Renters’ Reach

  • Based on today’s values, the highest priced home a renting household with student debt could afford is $269,400. A renting household without student debt could go as high as $361,800.
  • 33.9 percent of renters looking to buy in the next year have some form of student debt.
  • Those with student debt can afford 52.3 percent of homes across the country, at a maximum price of $269,400.

With mortgage rates on the rise, affordability is a growing concern for renters looking to build or increase their wealth through homeownership. And those with student debt face a steeper climb.

While a family earning the median household income can afford to buy 66.4 percent of homes currently listed for sale, those with student debt can afford just 52.3 percent.

Slightly more than a third of renting households – 33.9 percent – who plan to buy a home in the next year have some form of student debt, according to the Zillow Housing Aspirations Report. The majority of those are paying off debt of their own, but others are supporting their spouse, children, grandchildren, and/or someone else.

Student debt also reached record levels this year, totaling $1.56 trillion in the third quarter of 2018.  The average monthly student debt payment for renters is $388. Even before it limits the number and price of homes renters can afford, student debt makes it harder to set aside money for a down payment, which is one of the top barriers to homeownership in the eyes of renters. What’s more, saving for that down payment now takes longer than it did for previous generations.

This means that if they want to live affordably – that is, spend no more than 30 percent of their incomes on a mortgage plus student debt payments – those households would have to limit their search to homes $92,440 less expensive than renting households that have only the mortgage to pay. Based on today’s values, the highest priced home a renting household with student debt could afford is $269,400. A renting household without student debt could go as high as $361,800.

Using metro level median incomes and home values, the gap results in a substantial difference in the number of homes within reach. For renting households in Las Vegas, having student debt decreases the number of affordable homes available by almost half, from 57 percent to 29.3 percent. There are six additional major metros where the difference between the share of homes affordable to those with student debt and those without is greater than 20 percentage points. In Orlando, Fla., where the median household income is just over $55,000, renting households without student debt can afford 59 percent of homes with an upper price limit of $328,200. Those with student debt can afford just 34.7 percent of homes, with the upper limit at $235,800.

Student debt has the least impact on affordability in San Jose, Calif., the nation’s most expensive housing market, largely because the median income can buy so few homes to begin with. Renting households with the metro’s median income of over $118,000 can afford just 18.3 percent of all homes in the metro with a maximum price of $703,200. For those with student debt, it’s 11.7 percent. Los Angeles has a similar story, with renting households without student debt able to afford just 13.5 percent of listings, a small share that falls to 6.3 percent for those with student debt.

Metropolitan Area Max Home Price, Student Debt Share of Listings Affordable with Student Debt Max Home Price, No Student Debt Share of Listings Affordable, No Student Debt Median Home Value, September 2018
United States $ 269,400 52.3% $ 361,800 66.4% $ 220,100
New York, NY $ 357,300 29.4% $ 449,700 40.9% $ 431,000
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA $ 326,700 6.3% $ 419,200 13.5% $ 647,100
Chicago, IL $ 320,500 58.8% $ 413,000 71.9% $ 222,200
Dallas-Fort Worth, TX $ 308,700 45.0% $ 401,100 64.0% $ 233,200
Philadelphia, PA $ 320,500 68.6% $ 413,000 79.3% $ 229,300
Houston, TX $ 292,200 48.1% $ 384,600 65.3% $ 200,900
Washington, DC $ 507,600 62.0% $ 600,000 71.1% $ 401,000
Miami-Fort Lauderdale, FL $ 227,900 21.4% $ 320,300 38.3% $ 278,400
Atlanta, GA $ 300,400 52.3% $ 392,800 66.8% $ 209,700
Boston, MA $ 423,500 38.1% $ 515,900 51.0% $ 458,000
San Francisco, CA $ 528,000 16.4% $ 620,500 26.0% $ 961,200
Detroit, MI $ 257,900 62.0% $ 350,400 76.1% $ 157,200
Riverside, CA $ 276,000 29.0% $ 368,400 49.4% $ 362,000
Phoenix, AZ $ 276,700 40.3% $ 369,100 60.5% $ 258,300
Seattle, WA $ 410,100 33.8% $ 502,500 48.5% $ 486,600
Minneapolis-St Paul, MN $ 365,800 60.7% $ 458,200 73.3% $ 263,300
San Diego, CA $ 357,800 9.7% $ 450,300 20.2% $ 589,200
St. Louis, MO $ 281,300 73.3% $ 373,800 82.9% $ 163,100
Tampa, FL $ 227,900 43.9% $ 320,300 65.4% $ 208,400
Baltimore, MD $ 392,500 67.2% $ 484,900 77.0% $ 265,600
Denver, CO $ 365,800 32.0% $ 458,300 50.6% $ 398,400
Pittsburgh, PA $ 260,300 72.6% $ 352,700 82.7% $ 142,300
Portland, OR $ 345,800 26.2% $ 438,200 46.8% $ 391,400
Charlotte, NC $ 286,400 44.4% $ 378,800 62.5% $ 199,400
Sacramento, CA $ 313,900 24.3% $ 406,400 44.5% $ 400,600
San Antonio, TX $ 259,300 54.4% $ 351,800 71.5% $ 187,800
Orlando, FL $ 235,800 34.7% $ 328,200 59.0% $ 231,000
Cincinnati, OH $ 284,800 66.1% $ 377,200 78.8% $ 164,500
Cleveland, OH $ 232,600 69.8% $ 325,000 81.9% $ 142,700
Kansas City, MO $ 291,900 61.8% $ 384,400 76.3% $ 185,500
Las Vegas, NV $ 251,400 29.3% $ 343,900 57.0% $ 273,800
Columbus, OH $ 284,500 58.4% $ 376,900 71.0% $ 184,200
Indianapolis, IN $ 263,400 63.3% $ 355,900 76.6% $ 157,200
San Jose, CA $ 610,800 11.7% $ 703,200 18.3% $ 1,288,700
Austin, TX $ 356,800 52.5% $ 449,300 66.7% $ 300,600

Source: zillow.com